Right Direction or Wrong Track?
58% of Edmontonians believe the city is heading in the wrong direction, while 33% think it's on the right path.
Age plays a big role: among those aged 55+, 74% say Edmonton is off track. On the flip side, 47% of those aged 18–34 believe it’s headed the right way.
Income matters, too: residents with household incomes under $60,000 are far more likely to be positive than higher-income groups.
Will They Vote?
Voter turnout could be strong at least from some demographics.
66% say they’re either definitely or very likely to vote.
Higher likelihood is seen among men (76%) and people aged 55+ (82%).
Younger voters (18–34) and those in middle income brackets are less sure.
Who Do They Know And Like?
Awareness and approval are mixed across the field.
Tim Cartmell leads in awareness (46%), followed by Andrew Knack (41%), Tony Caterina (34%), Rahim Jaffer (31%), and Michael Walters (24%).
Among those who know each candidate:
Omar Mohammad has 52% approval.
Knack isn’t far behind with 50%.
Walters also has a strong showing at 49%.
Cartmell (43%), Caterina (37%), and Jaffer (24%) are further back in positive ratings.
Voting Intention: A Tight Field, Big Uncertainty
If the election were tomorrow, Andrew Knack would lead with 12%, then Tim Cartmell at 10%, Michael Walters at 7%, Rahim Jaffer at 5%, and Omar Mohammad at 4%.
But here’s the kicker: 48% of residents are still undecided. That number holds even among likely voters.
What’s Driving Voter Decisions
Here are the issues topping residents’ concerns:
Lowering taxes (43%)
Reducing poverty (27%)
Spending restraint / reducing wasteful spending (26%)
Other priorities include boosting low-income/social housing, improving basic services (snow clearing, garbage pick-up), and fixing infrastructure like roads and transit.
Urban Growth, Density & Downtown Plans
Edmonton’s woke to trade‐offs:
57% support downtown revitalization, like converting under-used offices to homes.
54% are okay with limiting property tax increases by cutting back on some City services.
44% favour more infill and redevelopment to manage growth and housing demand.
Final Take: Open Field, Much to Play For
No candidate has yet built a clear lead.
Almost half of Edmontonians are still undecided, meaning the campaign ahead has a lot of fertile ground.
Older voters and men seem most engaged right now; younger folks might be the swing.
