Right Direction or Wrong Track?

• •

  58% of Edmontonians believe the city is heading in the wrong direction, while 33% think it's on the right path.

• •

  Age plays a big role: among those aged 55+, 74% say Edmonton is off track. On the flip side, 47% of those aged 18–34 believe it’s headed the right way.

• •

  Income matters, too: residents with household incomes under $60,000 are far more likely to be positive than higher-income groups.

Will They Vote?

Voter turnout could be strong—at least from some demographics.

• •

  66% say they’re either definitely or very likely to vote.

• •

  Higher likelihood is seen among men (76%) and people aged 55+ (82%).

• •

  Younger voters (18–34) and those in middle income brackets are less sure.

Who Do They Know — And Like?

Awareness and approval are mixed across the field.

• •

  Tim Cartmell leads in awareness (46%), followed by Andrew Knack (41%), Tony Caterina (34%), Rahim Jaffer (31%), and Michael Walters (24%).

• •

  Among those who know each candidate:

  • •

    Omar Mohammad has 52% approval.

  • •

    Knack isn’t far behind with 50%.

  • •

    Walters also has a strong showing at 49%.

  • •

    Cartmell (43%), Caterina (37%), and Jaffer (24%) are further back in positive ratings.

Voting Intention: A Tight Field, Big Uncertainty

• •

  If the election were tomorrow, Andrew Knack would lead with 12%, then Tim Cartmell at 10%, Michael Walters at 7%, Rahim Jaffer at 5%, and Omar Mohammad at 4%.

• •

  But here’s the kicker: 48% of residents are still undecided. That number holds even among likely voters.

What’s Driving Voter Decisions

Here are the issues topping residents’ concerns:

1. •

   Lowering taxes (43%)

2. •

   Reducing poverty (27%)

3. •

   Spending restraint / reducing wasteful spending (26%)

Other priorities include boosting low-income/social housing, improving basic services (snow clearing, garbage pick-up), and fixing infrastructure like roads and transit.

Urban Growth, Density & Downtown Plans

Edmonton’s woke to trade‐offs:

• •

  57% support downtown revitalization, like converting under-used offices to homes.

• •

  54% are okay with limiting property tax increases by cutting back on some City services.

• •

  44% favour more infill and redevelopment to manage growth and housing demand.

Final Take: Open Field, Much to Play For

• •

  No candidate has yet built a clear lead.

• •

  Almost half of Edmontonians are still undecided, meaning the campaign ahead has a lot of fertile ground.

• •

  Older voters and men seem most engaged right now; younger folks might be the swing.